<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Talking about strategy &#187; diffusion</title>
	<atom:link href="http://kimwarren.com/tag/diffusion/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://kimwarren.com</link>
	<description>with Kim Warren</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 07 Feb 2012 10:00:48 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1</generator>
<xhtml:meta xmlns:xhtml="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" name="robots" content="noindex" />
		<item>
		<title>Tipping point for hybrid cars</title>
		<link>http://kimwarren.com/strategy/tipping-point-for-hybrid-cars/</link>
		<comments>http://kimwarren.com/strategy/tipping-point-for-hybrid-cars/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 16:14:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kim Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[diffusion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[experience-curve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hybrid-cars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[s-shaped-growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic business management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategy+business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tipping-point]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kimwarren.com/?p=253</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In The Coming Boom in Hybrid Cars &#8216;in strategy+business makes out that sales of hybrid vehicles are following exactly what would be expected from &#8216;S-curve theory&#8217; [?] - slow initial growth being driven by early adopters until the innovation becomes mainstream. Standard approaches have little to say about the scale or nature of change in such cases. <a href='http://kimwarren.com/strategy/tipping-point-for-hybrid-cars/'>[...]</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In <a href="http://www.strategy-business.com/li/leadingideas/li00096" target="_blank">The Coming Boom in Hybrid Cars</a> &#8216;in <strong>strategy+business</strong> makes out that sales of hybrid vehicles are following exactly what would be expected from &#8216;S-curve theory&#8217; [?] - slow initial growth being driven by early adopters until the innovation becomes mainstream. Standard approaches have little to say about the scale or nature of change in such cases.<span id="more-253"></span></p>
<p> Strategy dynamics frameworks capture, quantitatively, the interactions between improved functionality, pricing, marketing, as wellas those amongst different groups of customers. Much of this integrates long-established principles, such as experience-curve-driven falls in unit cost, technology-diffusion models, and the complementary effect of multiple competitors driving the industry dynamic.</p>
<p>One key feature of this is that word-of-mouth effects may well be way less important than threshold effects in driving the take-off tipping point. [Note that a continued percentage growth rate <em>does not</em> constitute a tipping point, even if they mean sales growth goes from 10 to 100 to 1000 to 10,000 units in successive periods].</p>
<p>Does this distinction actually matter to strategic business management? Well, if you think your market&#8217;s dynamic is driven by one mechanism when it&#8217;s actually driven by something quite different, you will likely do entirely the wrong things to encourage and exploit it, so I guess it does.</p>
<p>This is explained in Chapter 6 of <a href="http://www.wiley.com/go/smd" target="_blank">Strategic Management Dynamics</a>. The following figure shows the kind of dynamic that results from this kind of analysis &#8211; note the specifics re scale and timing of the development. Right-click and &#8216;save target as&#8217; to get the image out so you can see it full-scale.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.kimwarren.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/623-tipping-point.gif"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-255" title="623-tipping-point" src="http://www.kimwarren.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/623-tipping-point-300x142.gif" alt="" width="300" height="142" /></a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://kimwarren.com/strategy/tipping-point-for-hybrid-cars/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

