eBay/Skype split

Sad to see the ill-fated marriage of eBay and Skype end in divorce. Though it’s more fun to celebrate strategy triumphs, disasters can offer important lessons too. An Economist article focuses on the sale itself and worries about eBay’s prospects, but doesn’t assess why the original strategy didn’t work. At its most basic, it was a common issue – over-optimism about how business A customers would form a strong and easily-captured potential customer-base for business B. [I made the same mistake myself in the past!]  Take a look at eBay’s presentation of the rationale offered at the time of the orginal acquisition – it’s scarily thin on any analytical justification for the hoped-for benefits. Investors should expect better.

Sovereign Wealth Funds impact

Have noted before the major role that Sovereign Wealth Funds may play as the global economy recovers, in particular those engaged in active management, not just passive investment, e.g. Mubadala Development Co from UAE. Reports from Monitor have much to say on this – Weathering the Storm and Testing Time. As I have urged before, strategy requires asking how the future might develop, so Read more

Good old tools still help

You would expect knowledge in a professional field to accumulate – what we use today being built on what was known and used in the past. Strategy often doesn’t feel like that – a new fad gets promoted, then falls away as the next one comes along. So it’s a good reminder that one such tool is still helpful – if used with very great care! Read more